Las Vegas bookmakers expect plenty of winning from the Sunshine State this fall, as the Southpoint Casino has six of Florida’s seven FBS football teams with over/unders of at least seven wins.
After finishing last season 10-3 in Mark Richt’s second season, the Miami Hurricanes’ over/under has been set at 10 wins, the highest of any Florida team. Miami began last season 10-0 and emerged as a possible national championship contender before losing its final three games.
The casino also thinks highly of Lane Kiffin and Florida Atlantic, setting the Owls’ 2018 over/under at nine wins. FAU went 11-3 last season and returns five All-Conference USA players, including AP All-American running back Devin Singletary (American Heritage). The Owls have the highest over/under of any C-USA team and are looking to repeat as conference champions.
After going 13-0 last season, the self-proclaimed national-champion Central Florida Knights also have an over/under of nine wins. UCF lost head coach Scott Frost to Nebraska and graduated several key players, including linebacker Shaquem Griffin. UCF and FAU will play each other in Orlando on Sept. 21.
Perhaps the state’s most under-the-radar team, South Florida went 10-2 last season. The Bulls are projected to achieve similar success this year, with Vegas setting their over/under at 8.5 wins. Though the Bulls have an easy out-of-conference schedule, the parity of the American Conference — including their annual “War on I-4” game against UCF on Nov. 23 — could pose a challenge.
The Florida Gators hit a rough patch last season, but the casino apparently sees first-year head coach Dan Mullen leading the Gators back to a winning record in 2018, setting the Gators’ number at 7.5 wins.
Florida State is also looking to rebound after a disappointing 7-6 season under Jimbo Fisher, who departed Tallahassee for Texas A&M. Former USF and Oregon head coach Willie Taggart returns to Florida with the hope of restoring glory to the Seminoles, who were hit by key injuries last year and only narrowly made it to a bowl game.
Butch Davis led Florida International to its first winning season since 2011 with an 8-5 showing last year, but Vegas isn’t optimistic about the Panthers’ chances this fall, setting the team’s over/under at only five wins. FIU lost key offensive players quarterback Alex McGough, running back Alex Gardner and wide receiver Thomas Owens all to graduation.
Over/under win totals for 2018 college football season:
Central Florida: 9
Florida Atlantic: 9
Florida International: 5
Florida State: 7.5
South Florida: 8.5