You have reached your limit of free articles this month.

Enjoy unlimited access to myPalmBeachPost.com

Starting at just 99¢ for 8 weeks.

GREAT REASONS TO SUBSCRIBE TODAY!

  • IN-DEPTH REPORTING
  • INTERACTIVE STORYTELLING
  • NEW TOPICS & COVERAGE
  • ePAPER
X

You have read of premium articles.

Get unlimited access to all of our breaking news, in-depth coverage and bonus content- exclusively for subscribers. Starting at just 99¢ for 8 weeks

X

Welcome to myPalmBeachPost.com

This subscriber-only site gives you exclusive access to breaking news, in-depth coverage, exclusive interactives and bonus content.

You can read free articles of your choice a month that are only available on myPalmBeachPost.com.

Krauthammer: With North Korea, we do have cards to play


Given that Pyongyang has had nuclear weapons and ballistic missiles for more than a decade, why the panic now? Because North Korea is headed for a nuclear breakout. The regime has openly declared that it is racing to develop an intercontinental ballistic missile that can reach the United States — and thus destroy an American city at a Kim Jong Un push of a button.

The North Koreans are not bluffing. They’ve made significant progress with solid-fuel rockets, which are more quickly deployable and thus more easily hidden and less subject to detection and pre-emption.

At the same time, Pyongyang has been steadily adding to its supply of nuclear weapons. Today it has an estimated 10 to 16. By 2020, it could very well have a hundred. (For context: the British are thought to have about 200.)

Hence the crisis. We simply cannot concede to Kim Jong Un the capacity to annihilate American cities.

Some will argue for deterrence. If it held off the Russians and the Chinese for all these years, why not the North Koreans? First, because deterrence, even with a rational adversary like the old Soviet Union, is never a sure thing. We came pretty close to nuclear war in October 1962.

And second, because North Korea’s regime is bizarre in the extreme, a hermit kingdom run by a weird, utterly ruthless and highly erratic god-king.

If not deterrence, then prevention. But how? The best hope is for China to exercise its influence and induce North Korea to give up its programs.

For years, the Chinese made gestures, but never did anything remotely decisive. They have their reasons. It’s not just that they fear a massive influx of refugees if the Kim regime disintegrates. It’s also that Pyongyang is a perpetual thorn in the side of the Americans, whereas regime collapse brings South Korea (and thus America) right up to the Yalu River.

So why would the Chinese do our bidding now?

For a variety of reasons.

— They don’t mind tension but they don’t want war.

— Chinese interests are being significantly damaged by the erection of regional missile defenses to counteract North Korea’s nukes.

— For China to do nothing risks the return of the American tactical nukes in South Korea, withdrawn in 1991.

— If the crisis deepens, the possibility arises of South Korea and, most importantly, Japan going nuclear themselves. The latter is the ultimate Chinese nightmare.

These are major cards America can play. Our objective should be clear.

Because Beijing has such a strong interest in the current regime, we could sweeten the latter offer by abjuring Korean reunification. This would not be Germany, where the communist state was absorbed into the West. We would accept an independent, but Finlandized, North.

Here we would guarantee that a new North Korea would be independent but always oriented toward China.

There are deals to be made. They may have to be underpinned by demonstrations of American resolve. A pre-emptive attack on North Korea’s nuclear facilities and missile sites would be too dangerous, as it would almost surely precipitate an invasion of South Korea with untold millions of casualties. We might, however, try to shoot down a North Korean missile in mid-flight to demonstrate both our capacity to defend ourselves and the futility of a North Korean missile force that can be neutralized technologically.

The Korea crisis is real and growing. But we are not helpless. We have choices. We have assets. It’s time to deploy them.



Reader Comments ...


Next Up in Opinion

Letters: How can Mast deny health care for already sick people?

First, I want to state clearly that I thank U.S. Rep. Brian Mast, R-Palm City, for his service to our country. It is very unfortunate that he suffered an injury while in service to our country. I believe we owe him health care for his injury for the rest of his life. Second, I am a cardiovascular surgical advanced practice nurse. Brian Mast’s...
Christie commentary: The lost art of balancing a checkbook
Christie commentary: The lost art of balancing a checkbook

You know, sometimes I think the Florida Legislature is just one big tease. For years now, they’ve played with my emotions when it comes requiring a financial literacy course for the state’s public high school students. Time and again, I’ve written, begged and pleaded for one measly half-credit class. Why? Because there’s not...
Editorial: First 100 days not even close to making America great
Editorial: First 100 days not even close to making America great

For 100 days the United States of America has been led by a one-of-a-kind president — a billionaire intent on dominating each day’s news cycle, his eyes on Fox News and his thumbs on his Twitter feed. A president who constantly reverses himself, uttering whatever story benefits him at the moment; who has spent nearly one-fifth of his time...
POINT OF VIEW Teachers benefit from professional coaching

Laura Tomas doesn’t look like a stereotypical coach. She doesn’t pace the sideline during basketball games or wear a whistle on a lanyard around her neck. But Tomas, a veteran teacher at Orchard View Elementary in Delray Beach, is a coach just the same – an academic coach trained to support other teachers and up their game. The idea...
Palm Beach Post editorial cartoon: April 30
Palm Beach Post editorial cartoon: April 30

CARTOON VIEW CHAN LOWE
More Stories