Republicans are on the verge of passing a massive tax overhaul plan this week, with the Senate preparing to pass the GOP plan Tuesday night and the House ready to send the measure to President Trump on Wednesday morning.
Republicans appear to have the votes they need to pass the measure through the Senate, after holdout Republican Sens. Marco Rubio (Fla.) and Bob Corker (Tenn.) said last week they’d support it.
“Congress is standing at the doorstep of a historic opportunity,” Majority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-Ky.) said Tuesday as he announced the upcoming vote. “Here's what we set out to do: Take money out of Washington's pockets and put it pack in the pockets of middle-class Americans.”
House Republicans thought they’d finished their tax work they passed a version of the tax bill Tuesday afternoon. The measure passed 227 to 203, with all except 12 Republicans voting for the bill. Zero Democrats supported it.
But the plan hit a minor snag Tuesday afternoon when the Senate parliamentarian ruled that three of its provisions violated the chamber’s Byrd Rule — guidelines on what types of legislation can pass with 50 votes.
Senate Republicans aim to pass the measure with a series of minor changes. None of the changes are expected to cost the plan any GOP support, but it will require the House to vote again as identical versions of the bill must pass the House and Senate before Trump can sign it into law. House GOP leaders asked their members to be ready to vote again by 10 a.m. Wednesday morning.
The parliamentarian took issue with a provision allowing for tax-incentivized accounts for home-schooling expenses, as well as one dealing with exempting certain universities’ endowments from a new excise tax. The third had to do with the abbreviated name of the legislation. Democrats raised the provisions with the parliamentarian in a bid to delay the bill, but they lack the votes to prevent it from becoming law.
Despite the delay, Republicans celebrated the anticipated passage of their tax plan, which would be their first major legislative victory since taking control of government in January.
“This is one of the most important pieces of legislation Congress has passed in decades . . . for all those millions of Americans struggling paycheck to paycheck, help is on the way,” House Speaker Paul D. Ryan (R-Wis.) said after the House vote. “This is a good day for workers . . . and a great day for growth.”
Trump has for months pushed Congress to send him a tax plan by Christmas. The core of the plan is a massive and permanent cut to the corporate tax rate, dropping it from 35 percent to 21 percent.
The plan would also cut individual tax rates for all income tax levels. The largest cuts would go to the wealthy, but in 2018 nearly all Americans will see their income taxes go down, according to a nonpartisan analysis of the final plan released Monday. Families earning less than $25,000 a year would receive an average tax cut of $60, while those earning more $733,000 would see an average cut of $51,000, according to the nonpartisan Tax Policy Center.
ow much their bill could add to the nation’s deficit, and they say a future Congress will extend them or make them permanent. But without that promised intervention, the measure would raise taxes on 53 percent of Americans by 2027, according to the center’s report.
The sprawling measure makes other major changes and would affect nearly every American business and household. It would restructure a complicated system of deductions, shrinking some and expanding others. The standard deduction, taken by many middle- and low-income households, would double, and a child tax credit would be expanded. Other provisions taxpayers use to reduce their bills, including a deduction on interest paid on new home mortgages and a provision allowing Americans to deduct what they pay in state and local taxes, would be shrunk.
Of the 12 Republicans who voted against the bill, 11 represent districts in New York, New Jersey or California. Those states are expected to be hit hard by the bill’s reduction of the state and local tax deduction, which helps those in high-tax states.
“Many in my area could face higher taxes under this plan,” Rep. Darrell Issa (R-Calif), one of the no votes, said in a statement before the vote. “Californians have entrusted me to fight for them. I will not make the incredible tax burden they already endure even worse.’
Said Rep. Lee Zeldin (R-NY): “This bill remains a geographic redistribution of wealth, taking extra money from a place like New York to pay for deeper tax cuts elsewhere. New York is a net contributor that now will be contributing even more.”
The bill would also reduce the estate tax, a levy on inheritances paid only by the wealthiest estates. Under the bill, a couple could pass on up to $22 million in assets without paying the tax.
And it would void an Affordable Care Act requirement requiring nearly all Americans to obtain some form of health coverage or pay a penalty. The change is projected to reduce government spending by $300 billion over a decade but also eventually leave 13 million more people with no health insurance.
The vote itself was chaotic, with a handful activists sitting in the public gallery repeatedly interrupting Republicans as they introduced the tax measure. Several of them were escorted out by Capitol Police.
At one point, an activist yelled, “You are lying to yourselves!” and told House Republicans they needed to go back to school to learn math, which elicited laughter among the Democrats on the floor.
A woman in a wheelchair chanted, “Shame! shame!” as she was removed from the gallery.
At another point, someone on the Republican side of the chamber shouted toward the activists, “Throw her ass out!”
Nearby sat Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin and a handful of staff members, who also watched the proceedings from the public gallery. The Republican caucus rose in near unanimous applause after the final vote was counted, then went to congratulate Ryan and House Ways and Means Committee Chairman Kevin Brady (R-Tex.) with smiles and pats on the back.
Republicans have touted their bill as a middle-class tax cut and promised it would produce enough economic growth to boost hiring and workers’ wages and would create enough revenue to keep it from adding to the deficit.
In an analysis of an earlier version of the bill, the Joint Committee on Taxation , Congress’s official tax scorekeeper, projected it would add $1 trillion to the deficit over a decade, even when projected economic growth is taken into account. That figure would grow substantially if the individual tax cuts were extended, and Republicans predict they will be.
The JCT projected that the earlier version of the plan would boost economic growth by 0.8 percent over a decade, far lower than the 3 percent growth Republicans on Tuesday promised their plan would unlock.
“We have not had a 3 percent economy since before the last recession,” Ryan said before the vote. “Tax reform will get us a 3 percent economy.”
Democrats unanimously oppose the plan but lack the votes to block it in either chamber. The sidelined minority’s members have spent months bashing the plan as a giveaway to corporations and the wealthy.
“It’s disgusting smash-and-grab. It’s an all-out looting of America, a wholesale robbery of the middle class,” House Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi (D-Calif.) said after the vote. “The GOP tax scam will go down, again, as one of the worst, most scandalous acts of plutocracy in our history.”
Polling suggests the public is broadly skeptical of the plan. A CNN poll released Tuesday found only 33 percent of Americans support it, with 66 percent of the country believing it does more for the wealthy than the middle class.
But Ryan said he had “no concerns whatsoever” about the bill’s polling, arguing that public support would swing in favor of the package once they see their after-tax incomes rise.
“Results are going to make this popular,” Ryan said.